Andrew Mount's Racing Tips

Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 25.09.24



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Andrew heads to the meetings at Redcar and Kempton (AW) for his three stats-based picks on Wednesday, September 25th…

 

KEMPTON 5.30

OLYMPIC MELODY (system – Race Guest AW runners on second career start)

Rae Guest has an 18 from 100 record with all-weather runners who were having their second career start and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £8.96 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 11.18, A/E = 1.61). The juveniles returned a profit of £22.60 and OLYMPIC MELODY, a solid 50-1 fourth of ten at Lingfield on her debut despite being hampered at the start, can reward each-way support.

 

REDCAR 5.40

BORDERLINE BOSS (system – Kevin Ryan 3yos, first run after a wind operation)

Since wind operations had to be declared in late January 2018, Kevin Ryan’s three-year-olds are 13 from 52 on their first run back after the surgery for a profit of £40.88 (expected winners = 5.65, A/E = 2.30). BORDERLINE BOSS was well supported prior to his ninth place over course and distance last time but the subsequent wind op suggests excuses that day and he could be worth another chance.

KEMPTON 7.00

ROOST (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time visor, handicaps)

Since the beginning of 2010, Ralph Beckett has a 13 from 58 record when using a first-time visor on one of his handicappers for a profit of £33.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 7.88, A/E = 3.85). ROOST did well to finish third over 1m4f here last time after blowing the start and the new headgear could help him to break cleanly this time.

 

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Sporting Index.

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