Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 12.12.24

Andrew heads to Warwick and the evening AW action at Chelmsford for his three recommended bets/trades on Thursday, December 12th…

WARWICK 1.25

LUCKY LUGGER looks like one of those consistent/reliable Matt Sheppard handicap chasers who can place at least in this novices’ handicap. Since the beginning of 2014, backing the yard’s handicap chasers blind would have found 73 winners from 432 (16.9% strike-rate) for a very healthy profit of £128.46 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 48.64, A/E = 1.50). This lightly raced seven-year-0ld is 0-8 under Rules but has finished second at Chepstow in both starts since switched to fences and he tends to race close to the pace, ideal for today’s venue. Buy in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back LUCKY LUGGER in Warwick 1.25

CHELMSFORD 6.00

Hugo Palmer seems to be a fan of Lope De Vega and he does exceptionally well with the sire’s progeny on the all-weather, scoring with 16 of the 46 qualifiers for a profit of £31.67 (expected winners = 8.68, A/E = 1.84). Those running at Chelmsford had form figures of 2111121113427326 (7-16) for a profit of £20.25 and CABELLEROSO failed to settle when only fifth of nine (11-10 favourite) at Doncaster in mud-June when we last saw him but the switch to Polytrack and first-time hood can bring about the required improvement.

Recommendation: Back CABELLEROSO in Chelmsford 6.00

CHELMSFORD 8.00

HIATUS bolted up over course and distance last Thursday, coming late wide to score by four lengths but he may have been flattered, despite the four-length winning margin. All bar one of the winners came from midfield or further back at that meeting and the Polytrack surface looked much slower on the inside rail, putting low-drawn prominent racers at a huge disadvantage. Conrad Allen’s four-year-old has yet to back up a win – recording form figures of 4676 (0-4) and he looks one to oppose at shortish odds. Sell in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Oppose HIATUS in Chelmsford 8.00

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Sporting Index.