Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 05.11.24

Andrew heads to the afternoon meetings at Redcar and Warwick for his three recommended bets/trades on Tuesday, November 5th.

WARWICK 1.50

On official ratings KINTAIL looks up against it in this three-runner level-weights beginners’ chase, as he’s only rated 115 whereas his rivals – RAMBO T and SKYCUTTER – are rated 134 and 120 respectively. However, the five-year-old is trained by Nicky Henderson who has a fantastic record with his chase debutants, especially here at Warwick. In the past 20 years the 16 qualifiers have recorded form figures of 1211231FF1112413 (8-16) for a profit of £8.66 to a £1 level stake at SP. Throw in Kintail’s liking for this venue (he’s unbeaten in two runs here – a bumper and a novices’ hurdle) as well as his front-running style, and he looks value to cause a minor upset. Buy in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back KINTAIL in Warwick 1.50

REDCAR 2.00

Jennie Candlish has her team in good form and DEBORA’S DREAM looks very interesting on his second start for the yard. The son of Sioux Nation was a three-time winner for Roger Varian and ran with great on last month’s stable debut, finishing a 14-1 fifth in a 1m Class 3 handicap on soft ground at today’s venue. The three-year-old is up in trip to 1m2f for the first time but has the plum draw in stall 1 – horses from the inside berth, who started in the top four in the betting, are 11 from 33 in Redcar handicaps since the beginning of 2021 for a profit of £14.00 to a £1 level stake at SP – and could have improvement to come. Buy in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back DEBORA’S DREAM in Redcar 2.00

WARWICK 3.00

BAGHEERA GINGE bombed out at Worcester last time, finishing 95 lengths behind the winner in fifth place despite starting at 11-4 but that race reportedly came too soon (16 days) after his 10-1 neck second at Newton Abbot and it should pay to ignore the run. Nigel Twiston-Davies’ six-year-old has been freshened up by a 50-day break and it looks significant that he returns to Warwick for the first time since his comfortable front-running course and distance win last October, which also came on the back of a short break. He’s only 2lb higher this time around and could prove hard to pass. Buy in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back BAGHEERA GINGE in Warwick 3.00

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Sporting Index.