Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 05.03.2024

Andrew heads to Newcastle (jumps) and the evening AW action at Newcastle for his two recommended bets/trades on Monday, March 5th.

NEWCASTLE 2.20

TWOSHOTSOFTEQUILA, forecast to start as the 8-11 favourite in this three-runner handicap chase, could be worth taking on under a 7lb penalty for last week’s comfortable Catterick success. The seven-year-old won easily that day but did challenge wide on the better ground and may have been a shade flattered. Perhaps of greater significance is his record when returned to the track within 28 days of his previous run – form figures of 46253243 (0-8) – and he rates a sell in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market. The other two runners – YOUR OWN STORY and EQUUS DANCER – are both making their belated seasonal debuts but a small reversed-forecast on the pair could pay dividends for fixed odds punters.

Recommendation: Oppose TWOSHOTSOFTEQUILA in Newcastle 2.20

SOUTHWELL 8.30

LOUISIANA BAY is a ten-race maiden, but she’s been threatening to win for a while and was given an ill-judged ride when fourth (11-4 favourite) in a 1m4f handicap at Newcastle last month. That course and distance eats front-runners alive but the Jack Jones-trained five-year-old, ridden patiently in the majority of her recent starts, took up the running under Grace Harris before the half-way stage and was swamped inside the final furlong, finishing three lengths back in fourth place. The three runners who beat her were described by the Racing Post as ‘towards rear’, ‘slowly away, in rear’ and ‘slowly into stride, in rear’. Oisin Murphy is back on board today and he can be bought in the Sporting Index 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Back LOUISIANA BAY in Southwell 8.30

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Sporting Index.